{"product_id":"quantifying-counterfactual-military-history-9781138592384","title":"Quantifying Counterfactual Military History","description":"\u003cp\u003eForces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. \u003ci\u003eQuantifying Counterfactual Military History\u003c\/i\u003e is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eKey Features: \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cul\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cli\u003eThis book demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cli\u003eIt examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cli\u003eIt combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cli\u003eIt provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history.\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cli\u003eIt is written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics.\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=AUTH-15996085\"\u003eBrennen Fagan\u003c\/a\u003e, \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=AUTH-15996087\"\u003eIan Horwood\u003c\/a\u003e, \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=AUTH-16422284\"\u003eNiall MacKay\u003c\/a\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublisher:\u003c\/b\u003e CRC Press\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePublished:\u003c\/b\u003e 09\/27\/2023\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003ePages:\u003c\/b\u003e 228\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eBinding Type:\u003c\/b\u003e Paperback\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eWeight:\u003c\/b\u003e 0.62lbs\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eSize:\u003c\/b\u003e 8.50h x 5.50w x 0.51d\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN13:\u003c\/b\u003e 9781138592384\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eISBN10:\u003c\/b\u003e 1138592382\u003cbr\u003e\u003cb\u003eBISAC Categories:\u003c\/b\u003e\u003cbr\u003e- \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=CAT-MAT\"\u003eMathematics\u003c\/a\u003e | \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=BISAC-MAT025000\"\u003eRecreations \u0026amp; Games\u003c\/a\u003e\u003cbr\u003e- \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=CAT-MAT\"\u003eMathematics\u003c\/a\u003e | \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=BISAC-MAT029000\"\u003eProbability \u0026amp; Statistics | General\u003c\/a\u003e\u003cbr\u003e- \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=CAT-HIS\"\u003eHistory\u003c\/a\u003e | \u003ca href=\"https:\/\/sureshotbooks-com.myshopify.com\/search?type=product%2Carticle%2Cpage\u0026amp;q=BISAC-HIS027060\"\u003eMilitary | Strategy\u003c\/a\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003ci\u003eThis title is not returnable\u003c\/i\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e","brand":"CRC Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":44407160013037,"sku":"9781138592384","price":47.98,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0550\/8097\/6621\/products\/img_1a8d90bf-ce8b-490b-b089-e1d7ad19c082.jpg?v=1699723294","url":"https:\/\/sureshotbooks.com\/products\/quantifying-counterfactual-military-history-9781138592384","provider":"SureShot Books Publishing LLC","version":"1.0","type":"link"}