Minding the Weather: How Expert Forecasters Think

A detailed study of research on the psychology of expertise in weather forecasting, drawing on findings in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science.

This book argues that the human cognition system is the least understood, yet probably most important, component of forecasting accuracy. Minding the Weather investigates how people acquire massive and highly organized knowledge and develop the reasoning skills and strategies that enable them to achieve the highest levels of performance.

The authors consider such topics as the forecasting workplace; atmospheric scientists' descriptions of their reasoning strategies; the nature of expertise; forecaster knowledge, perceptual skills, and reasoning; and expert systems designed to imitate forecaster reasoning. Drawing on research in cognitive science, meteorology, and computer science, the authors argue that forecasting involves an interdependence of humans and technologies. Human expertise will always be necessary.

Author: Robert R. Hoffman, Daphne S. Ladue, H. Michael Mogil
Publisher: MIT Press
Published: 08/15/2023
Pages: 488
Binding Type: Paperback
Weight: 1.71lbs
Size: 9.00h x 7.00w x 1.01d
ISBN13: 9780262548816
ISBN10: 026254881X
BISAC Categories:
- Science | Cognitive Science
- Science | Earth Sciences | Meteorology & Climatology
- Psychology | General